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Market Commentary
Macro & Global Markets
Price Action — Weekly Ranges
Derivatives & Microstructure
U.S Spot ETFs — Institutional Flows
Conclusion & Positioning
October 9, 2026
Market Commentary — Week 41, 2026
The dovish turn reverses: Fed minutes reaffirm the restrictive bias and oil climbs back to ~USD 105. ETF demand turns to selling (BTC -700MM). BTC holds up; ETH and SOL fall harder. Caution.
October 2, 2026
Market Commentary — Week 40, 2026
A dovish turn with caveats: weak jobs cut October hike odds to ~20%, but PCE improved on a method change and the 10-year is at highs since 2002. ETF demand freezes. Strategic caution.
September 25, 2026
Market Commentary — Week 39, 2026
Demand confirmed: BTC ETFs take in USD 2,251MM and BTC clears resistance. But the ceiling is macro: the Fed leans to hike (Oct >70%) and yields jump to highs. Strategic caution.
September 18, 2026
Market Commentary — Week 38, 2026
A loaded macro week —CLARITY fails, the Fed hikes for the first time since 2023, the BoJ hits a 31-year high— yet BTC breaks USD 80,000. ETFs turn to buying Friday. Strategic caution.